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NOAA predicts an above average hurricane season



Eye of the Storm Image from Outer Space (CC0)

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released their annual hurricane season forecast Thursday predicting a 60% chance of an above-normal season.  While experts anticipate an active season ahead, storm activity is not anticipated to rise to the historic level seen in 2020.

We are likely to see 13 to 20 named storms, which are defined as those with wind speeds of 39 mph or higher.  Six to ten of those are likely to develop into hurricanes, including three to five major hurricanes.  NOAA says they provide these forecasted ranges with a 70% confidence.

(credit: NOAA)

“Although NOAA scientists don’t expect this season to be as busy as last year, it only takes one storm to devastate a community,” said Ben Friedman, acting NOAA administrator. “The forecasters at the National Hurricane Center are well-prepared with significant upgrades to our computer models, emerging observation techniques, and the expertise to deliver the life-saving forecasts that we all depend on during this, and every, hurricane season.”

Last year’s record-breaking season serves as a reminder to all residents in coastal regions or areas prone to inland flooding from rainfall to be prepared for the 2021 hurricane season.

“With hurricane season starting on June 1, now is the time to get ready and advance disaster resilience in our communities,” said FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell. “Visit and to learn and take the steps to prepare yourself and others in your household. Download the FEMA app to sign-up for a variety of alerts and to access preparedness information. Purchase flood insurance to protect your greatest asset, your home. And, please encourage your neighbors, friends and coworkers to also get ready for the upcoming season.”

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