One new COVID-19 case in Warren County Monday; statewide cases top 31,000

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The Mississippi State Department of Health reports one new COVID-19 cases in Warren County Monday, bringing the cumulative number of cases in the county to 515. This is the lowest number of new cases in weeks.

No new deaths were reported Monday in Warren County, leaving the county’s death toll at 18.

Deaths in the county include nine residents of Heritage House Nursing Center. As of Thursday, July 2, MSDH reports that Belmont Gardens and The Bluffs Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center are under investigation for active COVID-19 outbreaks. Belmont Gardens has two COVID-19 cases among staff, and The Bluffs has one case among staff.

Statewide, MSDH reports 357 new COVID-19 cases Monday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 31,257.

MSDH reports that three Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide Monday, bringing the total number of deaths in the state to 1,114. Nearly half of the state’s deaths were people in long-term care facilities. The state’s mortality rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 3.6%, a rate that has been falling slowly for a few weeks.

The numbers of deaths can lag new cases by as long as two weeks or more, which may be one reason deaths in the state have not risen dramatically. In addition, most new cases are seen in younger people recently, and they are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. By far, the largest age group reporting cases in Mississippi are young people from 18 to 29 years old.

COVID-19 deaths are reported in the following counties Monday:

Deaths and new cases were reported as of 6 p.m. Sunday, July 5. MSDH usually reports new statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.

MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 22,167 through Sunday, July 5. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 71% of the cumulative 31,257 cases reported as of Monday, July 6.

Based on the number of cases reported Monday, June 15, in Warren County (259), the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 241, or about 46.7% of the 516 cumulative cases reported Monday, July 6. The county has an estimated 257 active cases.

These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).

The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized. The number of hospitalizations has been steadily rising with new cases.

Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Friday, July 3, is 862, including 647 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 (another record high) and 225 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 175 were critically ill and in intensive care units, and 88 were on ventilators.

For additional information, visit the MSDH website.