Warren County reports record number of new COVID-19 cases Saturday; statewide cases over 1,000 again

Warren County reports record number of new COVID-19 cases Saturday; statewide cases over 1,000 again

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Mississippi’s new COVID-19 cases topped 1,000 again for the fourth time in the past seven days, while Warren County reported a record number of cases. The rate of new hospitalizations has seemed to flatten, although numbers of critically ill patients continue to rise.

In Warren County, the Mississippi State Department of Health reported a record number of new COVID-19 cases Saturday with 56. The previous record, 49, was reported July 24. No new deaths were reported in the county. The cumulative number of cases in the county to date is 1,089, and the county’s death toll is 32.

Statewide, MSDH reported 1,210 new COVID-19 cases Saturday, bringing the total cumulative confirmed cases in Mississippi to 66,646. The seven-day average of new cases is 966.

MSDH reported Saturday that 26 Mississippians died of COVID-19 statewide, bringing the total number of deaths in the state to 1,874. The state’s rate of deaths to confirmed cases is about 2.8%, a rate that has held steady for about two weeks.

The numbers of deaths can lag new cases by two weeks or more, which may be one reason deaths in the state had not risen dramatically until July 7 when 44 deaths were reported. In addition, most new cases are seen in younger people recently, and they are more likely to survive the virus than those 65 and older. By far, the age group reporting the most cases in Mississippi are young people from 18 to 29 years old.

MSDH reported deaths in the following counties Saturday:

County Deaths reported Saturday
Benton 1
Bolivar 1
Chickasaw 1
Coahoma 1
Forrest 1
George 1
Harrison 1
Hinds 1
Jefferson 1
Lafayette 1
Lauderdale 2
Lee 4
Monroe 1
Pearl River 1
Pike 1
Prentiss 1
Rankin 1
Sharkey 1
Sunflower 1
Tate 1
Tunica 1
Washington 1

Deaths and new cases were reported as of 6 p.m. Friday, Aug. 7. MSDH usually reports new statistics on the COVID-19 coronavirus each day based on the previous day’s testing and death reports.

The primary metric concerning state health officials are the numbers of people hospitalized, and that number has been steadily rising with new cases. On June 6, the number of Mississippians hospitalized with confirmed cases of COVID-19 was at a low of 358. Since then, hospitalizations have nearly tripled. Two weeks ago, health officials began warning repeatedly that some hospitals were running out of ICU beds. That warning has become more urgent as the numbers of cases continue to rise.

The number of Mississippians hospitalized for the virus as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Aug. 6, is 1,136. The number includes 943 with confirmed cases of COVID-19 and 193 people with suspected but unconfirmed cases. Of those with confirmed infections, 335 were critically ill and in intensive care units and 191 were on ventilators.

Source: MSDH

MSDH has estimated the number of people who can be presumed recovered from COVID-19 in Mississippi. That number is 42,391 through Sunday, Aug. 2. This figure is updated weekly. It represents about 63.6% of the cumulative 66,646 cases reported as of Saturday, Aug. 8.

The number of cases in Warren County three weeks ago, Saturday, July 18, was 686, therefore the estimated number of people presumed recovered in the county is 654, or about 60% of the 1,089 cumulative cases reported Saturday, Aug. 8. The county has an estimated 403 active cases.

These estimates are based on MSDH’s guidelines for calculating estimated recoveries when hospitalizations are not known, using the number of cases 21 days ago, less known outcomes (deaths).

The total number of Mississippians tested for COVID-19 (PCR tests) as of Friday, Aug. 7, is 492,386 or about 16.5% of the state’s 2.976 million residents. The positivity rate (positive results to tests, seven-day average) is about 20.5%, according to Johns Hopkins University, indicating Mississippi is not testing nearly enough, and results are probably an undercount of actual infections. The national rate is currently 7.5%, and a rate of 5% or less indicates adequate testing. Mississippi’s positivity rate has been the highest or among the highest in the nation for more than a week.

The total number of outbreaks in long-term care facilities is 174 Saturday. About 43.5%, or 816, of the state’s total deaths were people in long-term care facilities. Six of the 26 deaths reported Saturday were in long-term care facilities.

In Warren County as of 6 p.m. Thursday, Aug. 6, MSDH reported that three long-term facilities were under investigation for active COVID-19 outbreaks:

  • Shady Lawn had seven cases among staff, 32 cases among residents and eight resident deaths.
  • The Bluffs had nine cases among staff and 27 among residents.
  • Vicksburg Convalescent had 11 cases among staff and four among residents.

A total of 15 deaths in the county were residents of LTC facilities.

For additional information, visit the MSDH website.